Expert picks and betting tips for the 2022 Open Championship

The PGA Tour heads to the Old Course in St. Andrews in Scotland for the 2022 Open Championship this Thursday. Three-time winner Tiger Woods will return to the major stage after skipping the US Open last month. The field will also include 15 other former champions, including Phil Mickelson, Collin Morikawa and Jordan Spieth. Woods enters The Open Championship at 65-1 odds to win another Claret Jug, while Rory McIlroy is the betting favorite at 9-1. Other contenders include Scottish Open champion Xander Schauffele and Masters winner Scottie Scheffler.

Where is the value of the bet? Will the favorites win? Our golf and betting experts break down the field for the last major tournament of the year.

Jump to a section:
Experts’ Choice to Win | Choosing the value of bets to win | Ratings of Notable Golfers | Accessories and more


Choice of experts

Matt Barrie, ESPN
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

Michael Eaves, ESPN
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

Charlotte Gibson, ESPN.com
Winner: Rory McIlroy

Andy North, ESPN
Winner: Jon Rahm

Mark Schlabach ESPN.com
Winner:
Jordan Spieth

Marty Smith, ESPN
Winner:
Will Zalatoris

Strange Curtis, ESPN
Winner:
Cameron Smith

Wright Thompson, ESPN.com
Winner:
Tiger Woods

Paolo Uggetti, ESPN.com
Winner:
Will Zalatoris

Tom VanHaaren, ESPN.com
Winner:
Will Zalatoris

Scott Van Pelt, ESPN
Winner:
Jordan Spieth

Kevin Van Valkenburg, ESPN.com
Winner:
Max Homa

Josh Weinfuss, ESPN.com
Winner:
Rory McIlroy


The value of bets chooses to win

Our betting experts give you choices to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance of cashing in your ticket.

Michael Collins, ESPN Senior Golf Analyst
Winner: Tommy Fleetwood (28-1)

Why he will win: It’s strange to think that Fleetwood is entering the week under the radar. He finished T-4 at the Scottish Open, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s in contention this weekend.

David Bearman, Associate Sportsbook Editor, ESPN.com
Winner: Xander Schauele (16-1)

Why he will win: At 16-1, Schauffele has huge value, with straight wins and three wins in his last seven events. He’s in the top 10 on approach, tee to green and overall, but he’s still +500 longer than McIlroy. He has nine top-10s in major tournaments and is just missing a win. No need to overthink this one.

Chris Fallica, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner:
Jordan Spieth (16-1)

Why he will win: Spieth appeared to be preparing for the Open last week in Scotland. While he would have liked to win, he spent the weekend focusing on parts of the game that will serve him well at St. Andrews. He has a win and second place here since his T-4 in 2015 and his game looks to be in good shape on Thursday.

Tyler Fulghum, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Tony Finau (40-1)

Why he will win: There are a few high-flying players waiting to break through for their first major championship which I like this weekend, but Finau offers the best price. His record at the Open and on the links courses speaks for itself: among the top 15 at each of his last three Open championships. He’s also in good form entering St. Andrews with top-13 finishes in three of his last four starts.

Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Max Homa (50-1)

Why he will win: I have odds of 50 to 1 on a healthy golfer who has already won two on the Tour this season, most recently at Wells Fargo in May. Homa has been incredibly consistent this season, finishing in the top 20 in 10 of his last 15 stroke play events while making the cut in all three major championships this season. Add to that the fact that he finished 40th last year in his first-ever Open Championship start and I’m happy to be involved at 50-1.

Anita Marks, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Patrick Canlay (20-1)
Cantlay is flying low on the radar, but playing phenomenal golf lately. He has only missed the cut once in his last six starts and has finished 14th or better with three top-5 finishes. He ranks in the top 10 in par-4 scoring and is expected to dominate putting this week.

Doug Kezirian ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Dustin Johnson (30-1)

Why he will win: His game isn’t perfect right now, but 30-1 for a player of his caliber is too good to pass up. The guy finished T-14 at St. Andrews in 2010 and had four top-10 finishes at that major, including last year.


Odds of winning the Open Championship 2022


Accessories and more

Our betting experts have more than bets to win. Here are some props to target for the entire event, from top 10s to cups made to tournament matches.

Xander Schauele in the top 20 (-125)
Bearman/Fallica: This prop has cashed in seven consecutive events this season and in 14 of Schauffele’s 21 major tournaments. His top 20 price has gone down from +200, but he’s still a steal at -125.

Tiger Woods to make the cut (-145)
Bearman: No one is asking Tiger to win this thing and 60-1 is far from true value, but he has planned his entire year around this event, even missing the US Open for it. It is his favorite course and he hoisted the Claret Jug in 2000 and 2005. Walking the course will be much easier on his rehabilitated leg compared to Augusta and Brookline. He only has to surrender until Saturday.

Sahith Theegala in the top 10 (+1200)
Collins: Ignorance isn’t normally bliss, but Theegala will be the exception to that rule in his first ever start at the St. Andrews Open.

Max Homa in the top 10 (+350)
Fallic: Homa staged three strong first rounds last week before retiring on Sunday. He’s dropped out of the top 25 once since the Masters, is 13th on the circuit in strokes won: tee-to-green and should improve here after getting a taste of the Open last year (T-40th).

Shane Lowry ranks top 20 (+130)
Brands: Lowry has been playing terrific golf this season, aside from his putter. He will be back in his element on a links course where his game is top notch and the scrambling will keep him in the top 20 if not higher.

Jordan Smith in the top 40 (+150)
Brands: I picked Smith last week to finish in the top 20 and he didn’t disappoint me. He has six consecutive top-25 finishes on the DP World Tour and I expect him to pick up where he left off last week against a much tougher field.

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